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Thursday, October 23, 2014

HAPPY DIWALI & A PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR SAMVAT 2071 !!!

HELLO READER FRIENDS, 
Here's Wishing You n Your Family
A VERY HAPPY DIWALI &
   A PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR !!!!



We meditate on the Glory of the Creator ; 
   Who has created the Universe ; 
  Who is worthy of Worship ;
         Who is the embodiment of Knowledge and Light ; 
            Who is the remover of all Sin and Ignorance;
  May He enlighten our Intellect.
Gayatri Mantra....

There's always something warm and bright, about this time of the year, when everything has a special glow, and hearts are full of Cheer, that's why this special greetings comes your way, to wish you all a life's best on Diwali and in the coming New Year too.....
Bhavikk Shah


I Wish you all and your loved ones a Very Happy Diwali and A Prosperous New Year and Thank you all for being there as a backbone of the Blog for 7 long years..

From the last Samvat to this, markets has definately made every one happy this year. From last years Muhurat trading of 6,317.35 Nifty to current Nifty of 7,995 (22 oct 2014), its a fantastic 1,677.65 points run a excellent return of 26.55 % and if we take the peak of our markets then its around 2,247 points of run up from nifty low of 5,933. Whatever the case may be (elections, majority to new government, expectations of reforms etc) but the investors are happy as of now. But still I am concerned, 

Yeah am concerned, dont get me wrong I still hold my bullish view for Indian Economy & markets. We all know that there is a wave of change in Indian Economy and changes does not occur in sudden, it takes its own course of time and Stock markets tends to react faster than we expect and when the sanity of the markets returns, we see down trend in markets which are nothing but a reflection of true fundamentals of our economy.. 

Give a look at our IIP - struggling at 0.40 % our GDP at 5.7 %, and adding on to it our corporates are not enthusiastic enough to do major investments, remember I have repetitively kept on saying again and again that our corporates still holds huge chunk of cash of around Rs. 5,70,000 Cr. Secondly, this rally has come at a time when there were depressed earnings and if we see at the previous market peak, which was of Jan 2008, the earnings growth trajectory was Upwards at that point of time and currently the earnings growth is muted, this means that a lot of the anticipated improvement in earnings is already priced in. 

Looking at the way the earning season is going I feel that there could be downfall in markets which can wipe off entire gains, anyways the 10 years average historical PE of Indian markets is around 17.8x but below its peak of 25x. I see Nifty levels to cool off around 7,400 - 7,600 and then the new wave of bull market should start which I hope will be on back of the strong investments by the corporates, double digit IIP, lower inflation, strong earnings growth and hopefully GDP number of 8.5%.. So friends just be cautious and start booking your profits because we can see a sell off within 3-4 months.. Buy fundamentally strong stocks and keep a strict stoploss of 8 % ..Till then happy Investing !!!

WISH YOU ALL A VERY HAPPY NEW DIWALI AND A PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR !!!!

READER FRIENDS READ THE VERY FIRST POST OF THIS BLOG DATED : 30th OCT 2008 

Best Regards,
BHAVIKK SHAH 
 Twitter Handle -  @bhavikkrshah 

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19 comments:

  1. SAME TO YOU BHAVIK. WISHING YOU AND YOUR FAMILY PROSPEROUS TIMES AHEAD!!!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hello uppal maam
      wish you and your family a very happy diwali a
      nd a prosperous new year
      thanks for your wishes maam

      Delete
  2. Wishing You and Your family a very Happy Diwali & Prosperous New Year :) :) :) :) :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi d.prabhu
      wish u and ur loved ones a very happy diwali and a very prosperous new year ..
      Thanks a ton for your wishes

      Delete
  3. Replies
    1. Hi rajesh
      thanks for your wishes
      wish you to happy diwali

      Delete
  4. Replies
    1. Hi sweta
      wish you too happy diwali and prosperous new year

      Delete
  5. Happy Diwali to you and your Family.
    May God Bless you and brings Happiness to your Life.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi dev rathi
      thanks for your wishes and wishing you too a very happy diwali

      Delete
  6. Happy Deepavali to you and your family too Bhavikk :) An interesting post :)
    TC! Keep smiling :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Sindhu
      Thanks for your wishes and wish you and your loved ones a very happy Diwali and a very prosperous new year
      and as always do keep on smiling too..
      have a wonderful weekend

      Delete
  7. Happy Diwali wishes to you and to your family members Mr.Bhavikk. Very interesting information you shared in this post. Thanks for the info.

    Please look into my Lamps of India message which i shared in my Heritage of India blog and give your comments.

    http://indian-heritage-and-culture.blogspot.in/2013/09/lamps-of-india.html

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi yup sure I will
      and wish you and your family a happy diwali and prosperous new year

      Delete
  8. HAPPY DIWALI AND WISH YOU A VERY PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR AHEAD

    ReplyDelete
  9. Happy Diwali & a good financial year ahead :)

    ReplyDelete
  10. Heartiest wishes for you & your family :)

    ReplyDelete
  11. Bhavikk Shah sir namaste and thank you very much for your valuable and inspirational comments to my Lamps of India message.

    Bhavikk Shah sir further on recent sunday i am presented my Third Seminar on Indian Heritage and Culture to young children. In this seminar i am sharing my paintings and other collections relating to Indian Heritage and explaining children about various aspects of our Heritage and Culture through my collections. Children are eagerly participated in my seminar and they clarified their doubts about our glorious heritage.

    http://indian-heritage-and-culture.blogspot.in/2014/12/my-third-seminar-on-indian-heritage-and.html

    Please look into my Third Seminar on Indian Heritage post and share your valuable and inspirational comment for the same.

    ReplyDelete