GURU's ON WEALTH !!!

GURU's ON WEALTH

In Ramayana, Guru Vashistha explains to Lord Rama that in this world, wealth is the most important thing. There is not much difference between a poor and a dead person. A wealthy person seeking after DHARMA and Prosperity will succeed at all cost but the poor person striving for prosperity will find it difficult to attain.

Sage Vyasa writes in Mahabharata, that through wealth one attains DHARMA, KAMA, and MOKSHA. Even day-to-day life in this world is not possible without wealth in hand. Hence, the ARTHA is important for the rest of the three - DHARMA – KAMA – MOKSHA.

The great economist Chanakya writes in his sutras that the root of human happiness lies in Dharma, and the root of Dharma is wealth and prosperity. The motive of any Karma or action is the gain of wealth and prosperity which bestows Dharma and Kama. Chanakya has also mentioned in his work that one who has wealth and prosperity has friends and relatives and only then he is considered as a man and he is able to live his life according to his wishes…

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Want to really Feel Free !!!?

 Want to really Feel Free !! ?  
Then FREE yourself from your Mobile !

This Morning I simply forgot my Mobile at Home... Ahhh..  What a Relief ! Haven’t felt more free in recent Times ! I caught up with my thoughts that had raced ahead, caught up with the inspiring environment around me that was always there ! Smiled a greeting at many familiar faces and who I normally simply pass by....

Try it !! Just close your Phone or lose it or simply forget it for the day !  You’ll love your Day !

I think I’m going to forget my Mobile even tomorrow and more often now !

Now don’t you dare try calling me !...hehehe.... 
For once I’m having Lunch at Lunchtime when I should be having it !

Cheers !!

ARE MARKETS FOR FEW !!!

Hi friends,

I got some alerting data on Markets - which are on data dated 2010 - there were 31 lakhs registered customers/investors on NSE from which only 2 lakhs (6 %) of these had done 90 % of the total volume on NSE. Looking minutely at this data we get that - 50 % of the exchange turnover was done by only 450 customers, 60 % of the exchange turnover was done by only 1500 customers, 70 % of the exchange turnover was done by only 8700 customers, and 80 % of the exchange turnover was done by only 41,000 customers.

Let’s have a look at DERIVATIVES - which is shocking that only 3.77 % dominates nearly 90 % of total F&O Turnover. There were 5.5 lakhs customers who do DERIVATIVES trading from which only 3.77 % controls nearly 90 % of the total derivatives turnover. THIS IS DISGUSTING !!!

After knowing that only a few runs the cash & F&O segment more shocking is that only a few scrips are concentrated for the trading, there were only 10 scrips which contributed 24 % of the Cash segment volume, whereas only 10 scrips contributed 38 % of total derivatives turnover.

WE SAY THAT OUR MARKETS HAVE MATURED ..IS THIS THE MATURITY ....ARE WE RUNNING MARKETS FOR FEW PEOPLE ...????
ARE THE NEWS FLOWS OR REPORTS TO FOOL INNOCENT INVESTOR WHO PUTS HIS HARD-EARNED MONEY...WHO'S GOING TO LOOK INTO THIS... I AM SURE THAT EXCHANGES & THE MARKET REGULATOR MUST BE HAVING FAR MORE DEEP DATA THAN THIS....AND THAT's THE REASON BUY FUNDAMENTALLY STRONG COMPANIES..WHICH DEFINITELY GIVES YOU GREAT RETURNS IN THE LONG RUN !!!
WE NEED TO BE ALERT.....

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An Awesome reply from the CEO of JP MORGAN !!!

 A young and pretty lady posted this on a popular forum:

Title: What should I do to marry a rich guy?

I’m going to be honest of what I’m going to say here. I’m 25 this year. I’m very pretty, have style and good taste. I wish to marry a guy with $500k annual salary or above.

You might say that I’m greedy, but an annual salary of $1M is considered only as middle class in New York.

My requirement is not high. Is there anyone in this forum who has an income of $500k annual salary? Are you all married?

I wanted to ask: what should I do to marry rich persons like you?

Among those I’ve dated, the richest is $250k annual income, and it seems that this is my upper limit.

If someone is going to move into high cost residential area on the west of New York City Garden (?), $250k annual income is not enough.

I’m here humbly to ask a few questions:

1) Where do most rich bachelors hang out? (Please list down the names and addresses of bars, restaurant, and gym)

2) Which age group should I target?

3) Why most wives of the riches are only average-looking? I’ve met a few girls who don’t have looks and are not interesting, but they are able to marry rich guys.

4) How do you decide who can be your wife, and who can only be your girlfriend? (My target now is to get married)

Ms. Pretty

NOW ON THIS COMES

A philosophical reply from CEO of J.P. Morgan:

Dear Ms. Pretty,

I have read your post with great interest. Guess there are lots of girls out there who have similar questions like yours. Please allow me to analyse your situation as a professional investor.

My annual income is more than $500k, which meets your requirement, so I hope everyone believes that I’m not wasting time here.

From the standpoint of a business person, it is a bad decision to marry you. The answer is very simple, so let me explain.

Put the details aside, what you’re trying to do is an exchange of “beauty” and “money”: Person A provides beauty, and Person B pays for it, fair and square.

However, there’s a deadly problem here, your beauty will fade, but my money will not be gone without any good reason. The fact is, my income might increase from year to year, but you can’t be prettier year after year.

Hence from the viewpoint of economics, I am an appreciation asset, and you are a depreciation asset. It’s not just normal depreciation, but exponential depreciation. If that is your only asset, your value will be much worse 10 years later.

By the terms we use in Wall Street, every trading has a position, dating with you is also a “trading position”.

If the trade value dropped we will sell it and it is not a good idea to keep it for long term – same goes with the marriage that you wanted. It might be cruel to say this, but in order to make a wiser decision any assets with great depreciation value will be sold or “leased”.

Anyone with over $500k annual income is not a fool; we would only date you, but will not marry you. I would advice that you forget looking for any clues to marry a rich guy. And by the way, you could make yourself to become a rich person with $500k annual income. This has better chance than finding a rich fool.

Hope this reply helps. If you are interested in “leasing” services, do contact me.

Signed,

J.P. Morgan CEO

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THE DOLLAR RUPEE STORY !!!

On 22nd November 2011 Rupee touched its year high of Rs. 52.73/1$, making RBI governor to give public statements. If US dollar weakens importers are benefited and exporters are at loss. Whenever Dollar weakens against Indian Re exporters blasts their feelings & so RBI have to step forward for their help. But have you ever imagine that once our 1 INR was equal to 1$ but eventually $ become strong against INR, how read on to know this -

When India got independence in the year 1947, there were no loans or external Debts on Indian government. The exchange rate as on 15 August 1947 was 1US$ equal to 1.00 INR. With the introduction of 5 year plans Indian government needed foreign borrowing and started devaluing INR. Which was further influenced by Indo- China war in 1962 and Indo- Pak war in 1965 which devalued INR more as India needed large funds for buying weapons.

In the year 1966, 6 June at the time of  Mrs. Indira Gandhi as the prime minister, inflation was increasing at a tremendous rate and also to keep on the aids given by US to India, USA government demanded and pressurised Mrs. Gandhi to devalue INR against US$. And kept the rate of 1US$= 7.50 INR. The then ministers Mr.Krismachari & Mr.Kamraj opposed these policy but it was of no use as Mrs. Gandhi was interested in getting help from US and kept INR weak against US$.

US$ grew stronger after 1971 –

After the year 1970, US$ grew stronger against INR due to incompetence of Indian politicians and bully of US. The exchange rate in 1970 was 1US$= 7.47 INR, which rise to 1US$= 8.40 INR in 1975, after the assassination of Mrs. Gandhi in the year 1984, and due to Boffors scandal tumbling Rajiv Gandhi’s government made the INR weaker and the rate was 1US$= 12.36 INR in the year 1985. In the year 1990 1US$ was equal to 17.50 INR.

Drastic drop in 1991 –

Whenever India faced economic or political problem, US made India to devalue INR against US$ by offering funds or trade benefits. In the year 1991 under the Narshima Roa government, India faced a drastic drop in INR against US$. At that time the Indian Forex reserve dropped to its bottom and there was a time where the balance of Forex reserve was such that India would be able to pay just 3months of Import bills. To fill in this gap India borrowed huge amounts from International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) with the condition that INR will be devalued against US$ and due to this 1US$ became 24.58 INR from Rs.16.31/1$. During this period exporters flourished as their exported products gained them more value in Rupee term.

History of Rates slowdowns -

In the year 1992 1US$ was equal to 28.97 INR; in 1995 1US$ was equal to 34.96 INR; in 2000 1US$ was equal to 46.78 INR; In the year 2002 June 1US$ was equal to 48.98 INR; After June 2002 INR became stronger against US$. In the year 2002 of December 1US$ was equal to 48.14 INR; in 2003 1US$ was equal to 45.57 INR; in 2004 1US$ was equal to 43.84 INR.

During the year 2004-06 RBI started buying $ and Indian Forex reserve raised to $200 cr, RBI stopped buying $ from January 2007 when 1US$ was equal to 44.25 INR; On 16^th May 2007 1US$ was equal to 40.79; on 27^th October 07 1US$ was equal to 39.21 INR it’s all time high when FII’s were flowing in tones of money in Indian capital markets; on 3^rd march 2009 1US$ was equal to 52.16 INR which was all time low of Indian Rupee. Which is now broken.

What can be the real value of US$?

Today $ is high against Re. But to determine the real value of any currency we have to see its Purchasing Power. This is known as Purchasing Power Parity (PPP).

The purchase rate of any product in US is compared with the rate to be given in Indian currency to buy that same good. For example to buy 1 dozen of fruit will costs 1$ in US, that same fruit would cost Rs.15 in India per dozen(of course inflation & other factors are not considered). This was just an example but to know real effective rate of any currency REER or Real Effective Exchange Rate index is referred to.

What Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) index?

REER index measures a domestic currency’s competitiveness against other major currencies and is an indicator of currencies relative value versus foreign currencies. REER index is the 6 currency basket which uses 3 year moving averages for calculating weights of the index taking 2004 -05 as base year. The 6 currency REER index in India is calculated using Euro, US Dollar, Yen, Pound Sterling, Hong Kong Dollar & Renminbi. REER relates to purchasing power parity hypothesis. It's the invoicing currency that has more weightage and since 80 % of our trade is done in US$ it is assigned more weightage in REER INDEX.

It is believed that RBI intervenes currency market to suppress Rupee if REER index approaches 105 & props Rupee up if REER gets close to 95. REER above 100 indicates relative strength of the currency. REER levels as on 25 Aug 2011 was at 117.01 implies that rupee is weaker compared with the base year of 2004-05.

There is also a 36-currency REER index, which is also used to measure competiveness of currency. However, this index is not used too frequently since CPI data for many nations comes with a 3-month lag. On an average basis, the 6-currency real effective exchange rate (REER) appreciated by 12.7 per cent in 2010-11, the 30-currency REER by 4.5 per cent and the 36-currency REER by 7.7 per cent.

REER Trends:

The 6-currency REER index rose to 112.76 in the period leading up to the economic crisis in 2007-08. During the crisis, REER weakened as rupee depreciated due to fall in capital flows. In one of the sharpest fall during the period, it fell to 93 levels in March 2008. REER stood near 100 for almost two years in 2008 and 2009. As the economy gathered pace, REER started appreciating and scaled to 116 by April 2010. From April 2010, REER has stayed around 115 for 17 months. REER strength and weakness before and after the crisis have been due to demand and supply factors led by capital flows. However, recent slide in rupee has been triggered by euro-zone problems.


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THE POWER OF COMPOUNDING

HI Friends!! Many a times we have heard about the power of compounding, we have also learnt some of them too….but the things we learn from practical life can not be taught by textbooks…..Similarly I came across one investor who is about 60 yrs of age retired teacher who invested way back in 1980’s kept hold onto it and made….HOW MUCH….GUESS!!!!!!!! Lakhs…Millions…Crores….Just imagine…

He invested 30 years back by just investing Rs.1,000/- initially. He subscribed in 10 shares of this Company with a face value of Rs. 100/- in 1980…

• In 1981 company declared 1 : 1 bonus = he had 20 shares

• In 1985 company declared 1 : 1 bonus = he had 40 shares

• In 1986 company split the share to Rs. 10 = he had 400 shares

• In 1987 company declared 1 : 1 bonus = he had 800 shares

• In 1989 company declared 1 : 1 bonus = he had 1600 shares

• In 1992 company declared 1 : 1 bonus = he had 3200 shares

• In 1995 company declared 1 : 1 bonus = he had 6400 shares

• In 1997 company declared 1 : 2 bonus = he had 19,200 shares

• In 1999 company split the share to Rs. 2 = he had 96,000 shares

• In 2004 company declared 1 : 2 bonus = he had 2,88,000 shares

• In 2005 company declared 1 : 1 bonus = he had 5,76,000 shares

• In 2010 company declared 3:2bonus = he have 9,60,000 shares

At the end...now in 2010 he has 9,60,000 shares of this company

Any guesses about the company?

His present valuation is about Rs. 41.86 Cr. & the company is ‘WIPRO’ - Western India Vegetable Products Ltd.

This is the power of compounding. Take a look below - 

What this simple but astonishing table shows is how if money is allowed to quietly compound, it attains enormous proportions. See how a sum of Rs. 1 lakh per annum over a period of 25 years at a rate of return of 25 % becomes an incredible Rs. 2.64 crores. Imagine if you could save 10 lakhs every year, in 25 years you would have 26 crores !!

Wipro managed to rope in many shareholders and helped them reap profits. The process started with just 17,000 shares that Wipro issued to the public at Rs. 100 each in 1947. In 1971, the company issued one bonus share for every three share held. In 1981, it was a one for one offer and this history of bonus shares kept on moving with time.

Other such examples ….....

CIPLA = Investment of Rs. 10,000/- in 1979 will fetch Rs. 95 cr.+

INFOSYS = Investment of Rs. 10,000/- in 1992 will fetch Rs. 1.5 cr.+

RANBAXY = Investment of Rs. 1,000/- in 1980 will fetch Rs. 1.9 cr.+

A LITTLE STORY ON MARKETS (On Request)

There was a small village, everyone there were living happily, one day someone from the big city came with his assistant, he announced that - "I will give Rs. 10 each for every monkey you catch and bring it to me", now the villagers started catching monkeys, soon villagers found a new job. They caught monkeys and sold to that stranger & made good money, after a short while villagers lost their interest. The stranger again announced that - "I will give you Rs. 15 each for every monkey", more monkeys came in, after a while the price of monkey went up to Rs. 60 !!! Suddenly one day the stranger was out of the village & his assistant said - "Look this guy does not pays me much, I want to sell all his monkeys at Rs. 50 each so when he comes back you can sell it back to him for Rs. 70" - the villagers agreed -The assistant sold all the monkeys to the villagers for Rs. 50 and went out of the village. Villagers were now left with their monkeys & still waiting........for the Stranger and his assistant to come... but none of this two came back & left villagers with their monkeys worth nothing...while that strangers made money out of nothing....

THE MORALE OF THE STORY - 

The villagers are we small Investors , our stocks are the monkeys and FII’s (Foreign Institutional Investors) are those strangers !!!

Do learn the lesson from this game.. and Invest safely, invest in good business and for long term... 


REGARDS

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A LITTLE STORY ON MARKETS

There was a small village, everyone in that village were living happily, one day someone from big city came with his assistant, he said - "I will give Rs. 10 for every monkey you catch, and bring it to me", villagers started catching monkeys, soon villagers found a new job. They caught monkeys and sold to that stranger & made good money, after a while they lost interest. The stranger said - "I will give you Rs. 15 for every monkey", more monkeys came in, after a while the price of monkey went up to Rs. 60 !!! Suddenly one day the stranger was out of the village his assistant said - "Look this guy does not pays me much, I want to sell all his monkeys at Rs. 50/each so when he comes back you can sell it back to him for Rs. 70" - the villagers agreed -The assistant sold all the monkeys to the villagers for Rs. 50 and went out of the village. Villagers were now left with their monkeys & still waiting........for the Stranger and his assistant to come... but none of this two came back & left villagers with their monkeys worth nothing...while that strangers made money out of nothing....

THE MORALE OF THE STORY - 

The villagers are we small Investors , our stocks are the monkeys and FII’s (Foreign Institutional Investors) are those strangers !!!

Lets us all learn the lesson, 

STOCK EXCHANGE & AMBANI's

In 1982, Reliance Industries came up against a rights issue regarding partly convertible debentures. It was rumored that the company was making all efforts to ensure that their stock prices did not slide an inch. Sensing an opportunity, a bear cartel which was a group of stock brokers from Calcutta started to short sell Reliance shares, its being said that nearly 11 lakhs shares of Reliance were shorted on March 18, 1982 and stock went down from Rs.131 to Rs.121 in minutes. To counter this, a group of stock brokers till recently referred to as "Friends of Reliance" started to buy the short sold shares of Reliance Industries on the Bombay Stock Exchange. Ambani through his known brokers indirectly bought more than 8,00,000 shares from that 11,00,000 shares sold by bear cartel. 

The Bear Cartel was acting on the belief that the Bulls would be short of cash to complete the transactions and would be ready for settlement under the "Badla" trading system operative in the Bombay Stock Exchange. The bulls kept on buying and a price of Reliance went to Rs. 152 per share & was maintained till the day of settlement. On April 30, 1982, the day of settlement, the Bear Cartel was taken aback when the Bulls demanded a physical delivery of shares only. To complete the transaction, the much needed cash was provided to the stock brokers who had bought shares of Reliance, by none other than Dhirubhai Ambani. In the case of non-settlement, the Bulls demanded an "Undha Badla" (a penalty sum) of Rs. 25 - Rs. 35 per share. With this, the demand increased and the shares of Reliance shot above Rs. 180 in minutes. The settlement caused an enormous uproar in the market and Dhirubhai Ambani was the unquestioned king of the stock markets. He proved to his detractors just how dangerous it was to play with Reliance.

To find a solution to this situation, the Bombay Stock Exchange was closed for three business days. Authorities from the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) intervened in the matter and brought down the "Undha Badla" rate to Rs. 2.00/share with a stipulation that the Bear Cartel had to deliver the shares within the next few days. The Bear Cartel bought shares of Reliance from the market at higher price levels and it was also learnt that Dhirubhai Ambani himself supplied those shares to the Bear Cartel and earned a healthy profit out of "The Bear Cartel's adventure". After this incident, many questions were raised by his detractors and the press. Not many people were able to understand as to how a yarn trader till a few years ago was able to get in such a huge amount of cash flow during a crisis period. The answer to this was provided by the then finance minister, Pranab Mukherjee in the parliament. He informed the house that a Non-Resident Indian had invested up to Rs. 22 Crore in Reliance during 1982-83. These investments were routed through many companies like Crocodile, Lota and Fiasco. These companies were primarily registered in Isle of Man. The interesting factor was that all the promoters or owners of these companies had a common surname Shah. An investigation by the Reserve Bank of India in the incident did not find any unethical or illegal acts or transactions committed by Reliance or its promoters.

THE SELF DESTRUCTION OF SATYAM & SPELL BACKWARDS MAYTAS

As many know the biggest scam in the history of India’s corporations has come to light. Satyam Computers, the country’s fourth largest IT Company stands on the brink of termination. More recently in the news for the failed takeover attempt of its sister company Maytas; Satyam is now staring into an abyss of anger and shame. Shareholders have dumped the stock left, right and centre. In every sense Satyam has managed to become India’s ENRON. It has cooked its accounts to show non existent revenues. We take a look at how this scam came about.

In a letter addressed to the Board of Directors of Satyam the former Chairman Ramalinga Raju whilst delivering his resignation has accepted total responsibility for the fudging of the company’s accounts. That was however of little concern as the damage has already been done.

In less than 24 hours the company could be sold to zero levels rendering it out of business. The National Stock Exchange has already removed Satyam from its Nifty index with the BSE likely to also remove it from the Sensex.

The fudging of accounts is indeed a criminal offence which if proved could very well lead to serious jail time for everyone involved in this fiasco. And upto 10 years

For now the only culpable offender seems to be Mr.Raju himself who has accepted all the blame himself in his letter. However, it is indeed difficult to believe that only he is guilty of this offence.

At some point earlier Satyam starts to make lesser and lesser profits. In order to maintain the same pace and acquire newer clients it starts to overstate its revenues and operating margins.

Profits reduce even more leading to Mr.Raju overstating his company’s revenues. While the revenues are in tens of crores, he manipulates the accounts to show them in the thousands.

Since the promoters and Mr.Raju’s family members hold minority equity stakes of Satyam Computers, Mr.Raju feels that if he reported the real figures his company could easily be a victim of a takeover. Therefore he continues to fudge figures and shows overstated numbers in quarterly reports and accounts.

Things start to become even more desperate and the fudging continues.

Mr.Raju realizes that he can’t continue to fudge figures anymore and decides to throw the dice one last time.

This time he decides to acquire Maytas Infra, A family owned company. The acquisition of Maytas could explain the discrepancies between the non-existent assets of Satyam and the existent ones. Due to massive shareholders oppositions the Maytas deal is called off. More allegations of corruption arise within the Satyam fold and the World Bank, an important client of Satyam decides to ban Satyam from doing business with the World Bank for eight years.

Finally, the writing is on the wall.Ramalinga Raju resigns realizing there are no other options left.