INDIA's FIRST IDR: THANKS TO STANDARD CHARTERED BANK PLC.

STANDARD CHARTERED BANK PLC

Standard Chartered PLC (STAN: LN) Bloomberg is all set to be the first foreign company to list in India through an Indian Depository Receipts (IDR) issue. India is the most profitable unit after Hong Kong. StanChart as it is called in short will offer to sell 24 crore IDR’s through public issue on May 25th 2010.

The issue will be 10 IDR = 1 share of Standard Chartered Plc of US$ 0.50. Like Global Depository (GDR’s) & American Depository Shares (ADS’s), IDR are the derivative instrument with shares as the underlying asset, they allow foreign companies to raise money in India.

StanChart expects to raise $500-$750 million (Rs 2250-3375 Crs). Calculation shows that an issue price of Rs 105-115 per share. This will be Stan Chart’s 3rd listing after London & Hong Kong & its next stop is Shangai.

StanChart is in India from 1858 in Kolkata; here it has 94 branches across 37 cities with over 20 lakh customers. It wants to show its commitment towards India which contributes 12 % of its global revenues. StanChart’s Net Profit grew 30 % CAGR in last 3 yrs, while Profit before Tax grew by 38 %. Base on 2009 results, StanChart’s Price to Book = 2 times, much better than 2.5 times of SBI. P/E at 14.6 times v/s 15.7 of SBI & 29.4 of HDFC Bank. Price band will be announced by May 24th 2010 depending on the closing price of the shares listed in UK.

What does IDRs means to an Indian sharesholders in terms of Taxations.....

Like Global Depository Receipts (GDR’s) & American Depository Shares (ADS’s), IDR are the derivative instrument with parent companies shares as the underlying asset, they allow foreign companies to raise money in India. An IDR holder acquires the same rights as a shareholder, except that he/she can neither attend the AGM nor vote on resolutions. NRI’s can trade in the IDR’s.

The biggest question doing the rounds is – what could be the tax implications for the Indian IDR holder? The good news is that IDR does not come under the purview of Securities Transaction Tax. But the IDR holder will have to pay tax on the dividend income earned. It is not yet clear whether the tax payable would be equal to the Dividend Distribution Tax which for the current fiscal stands at 16.61%. So tax seems sure but the rate is yet unsure.

Then there is the question of short and long term capital gains tax?

Currently, Long term gains made from Indian Stock Exchanges (stock held for more than 12 months) is completely exempted from tax while Short term capital gains tax (held less than 12 months) stands at 15%. But the IDR does not fall under the STT, so maybe it will not enjoy the same benefits as the shares listed on the Indian Exchanges enjoys. So this means that IDR’s will be taxed like any other asset –long term tax- held for over 36 months would be around 20%. Short term tax, when asset is held for less than a year, will be like regular income earned, at 30.9%.

There is no real clarity yet on this treatment of tax but surely, the Govt will have to bring a notification soon. A quick resolution on the tax angle is urgent and imperative or else it could undermine the very lure of this IDR.

According to the red-herring prospectus, the legal regime for IDR’s is still to be tested; investors in IDR’s may not get the benefits of a bonus issue or a rights issue; Even dividend income on IDR’s will be taxed in the hands of the investors and long-term capital gains tax will be another additional burden. Standard Chartered Bank has said whenever the company and/or the depository is unable to make bonus issues or rights issues available to the IDR holders, the depository will try and sell the deposited property that is the subject of the distribution on behalf of the IDR holders and distribute the net proceeds thereof as a cash distribution to the IDR holders.

Standard Chartered said it has agreed that for all corporate actions including voting, rights issues, the payment of dividends and other distributions, it will treat IDR holders on an equitable basis vis-à-vis other holders of shares in the home country (the UK). However, it pointed out that in circumstances where certain corporate actions, which are available to the holders of shares in the home country of the company and other jurisdictions where its shares are listed, are not permitted by Indian laws to be offered to IDR holders.

There is also a term called "Fungibility", now what does this means & how it relates to IDR/ADRS ?

The actual meaning of the word fungible is the ability to substitute one unit of a financial instrument for another unit of the same financial instrument. However, in trading, fungibility usually implies the ability to buy or sell the same financial instrument on a different market with the same end result.

Its a financial instrument (i.e. individual stock, futures contract, options contract, etc.) is considered fungible if it can be bought or sold on one market or exchange, and then sold or bought on another market or exchange.

For example, if one hundred shares of an individual stock can be bought on the NASDAQ in the US, and the same one hundred shares of the same individual stock can be sold on the London Stock Exchange in the UK, with the result being zero shares, the individual stock would be considered fungible. There are many fungible financial instruments, with most popular being individual stocks, some commodities (e.g. gold, silver, etc.), and currencies.

Fungible financial instruments are often used in arbitrage trades, because the difference in the price (the arbitrage part) often comes from a difference in location (the fungible part). For example, if the Euro to US Dollar exchange rate was 1.2500 in the US and 1.2505 in the UK, an arbitrage trader could buy Euros in the US, and then immediately sell Euros in the UK, making a profit of 0.0005 per Euro (or $5 per €10,000), because Euros are a fungible financial instrument. Similarly it implies to Stocks IDRs etc.

Suzlon's FCCB holders waives fine...Sets conversion price of Rs.95-100/sh.

Suzlon Energy had sought for the waiver of penalties that have accrued for breaching terms and conditions set by investors in its Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds. The penalties was amounted to 10 per cent of FCCBs, or $30-50 million. Suzlon told the exchanges that it has managed to remove covenants which was required to fulfil under the FCCB agreement in the meeting of bondholders,on April 29, 2010. The company proposed extraordinary resolutions in relation to the trust deeds and certain terms and conditions of the bonds, including the removal of financial covenants and waiver of any existing or prior breaches.

It has been learned that these two sets of FCCBs worth $300 million Zero Coupon Convertible Bonds(due JUNE 2012) and $200 million Zero Coupon Convertible Bonds(due OCT 2012), have three main financial covenants. First, Net borrowings to tangible Networth cannot be more than 1.5 times. Second, full-year EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortisation) cannot be less than 1.33 times the debt service coverage requirement, ie, repayment and service cost. Third, Net Borrowings to Net EBITDA should not be more than four times.

Just to remind that the profit of the company has been under pressure for the last three quarters and hence, it has not been able to meet the Net borrowings to Net EBITDA margin,” this was a concern for FCCB holders as this invited penalty from bondholders. It has been learnt that, the company is not expecting an increase in EBITDA in coming quarters. EBITDA will continue to fall for the coming quarters. Suzlon reported an Ebitda of Rs 408 crore in the 9 months to December 31, down from Rs 1,996 crore a year earlier.

Suzlon has reset the conversion price of bonds between Rs 95-100 per share.Suzlon will become the first company to reset the conversion price of FCCBs after the ministry of finance relaxed the guidelines for companies to price their bonds based on share prices of the past six months. Suzlon will pay 1% fees to bondholders for the waiver. Earlier conversion price was Rs.360-370 per share.The covenants have been relaxed for the entire tenure. This new price is likely to result in a dilution of 15.05% for the company. UPDATE- (Set the price Rs.97.26/sh)

Since, Suzlon has already sold its 23,60,00,000(35.22%) depository interest in Hansen Transmissions International NV - HSN:LN held by AE Rotor Holding BV a wholly owned indirect subsidiary of Suzlon Energy Ltd at the price of 95 pence per Depository Interest amounting to USD 350 million, with a locking period for 6 months for the remining stake of 17,46,32,079(26.06%), Which is about to complete by this MAY 2010,this will pegg Suzlon some what around Rs.1000 crs,this will substantially help Suzlon to reduce its current debts of Rs.10,488 crs.

It is awaiting approval from the Reserve Bank of India for the FCCB restructuring.

Talwalkars Better Value Pvt Ltd : TBVF

Price Band - Rs.123-128, Face Value- Rs.10

Issue opens on - 21th April 2010, Wednesday

Issue closes on - 23th April 2010, Friday

QIB Book - 30,25,000 shares (50% of Net issue)

HNI Book - 9,07,500shares (15% of Net issue)

Retail Book - 21,17,500 shares (35% of Net issue)

Total No. of Shares offered - 60,50,000 shares or 25.09%

Equity Shares outstanding after the Issue - 2,41,15,672 Eq Sh

Equity Shares outstanding prior Issue - 1,80,65,672 Eq Sh

Total Size of the Issue- Rs. 74.42 Crs. - Rs. 77.44 Crs.

Talwalkars Better Value Pvt Ltd (TBVF) - Commonly famous as Talwalkars, is India’s largest chain of health centers. The company established in 1932, it operates 58 health clubs in 28 cities, serves 55,000 clients in India.Hence demands premium. Talwalkars were the Official Fitness Partners for Standard Chartered Mumbai Marathon in 2008 and 2009 and Femina Miss India Contest in 2009.

The proceeds will be used for setting up of 27 additional health clubs about Rs.50.22 cr and repaying certain unsecured loans of Rs. 20.59 cr. The issue will constitute 25.09% of the fully diluted post issue paid-up capital of the company. Promoters’ stake will be reduced to 59.39% and non-promoters to 15.42% post issue.

At upper band of Rs.128 the stock is available at 53.9x the P/E & 2.6x the P/Bv based on FY10 post issue EPS of Rs.2.4 & BVPS of Rs 48.6. For the year ended on 31st March 2009 company reported PAT of Rs.5.687cr on total income of Rs.59.424 crs, For the period ended in April-September 2009 ,Company posted PAT of Rs.31.90 cr on the total income of Rs. 358.82 cr.

CARE has assigned an IPO Grade 3 to Talwalkars Better Value Fitness Ltd IPO. This means as per CARE company has 'Average Fundamentals'. CARE assigns IPO grading on a scale of 5 to 1, with Grade 5 indicating strong fundamentals and Grade 1 indicating poor fundamentals.

TBVF IS AT EXPENSIVE VALUATION: BUT GOOD BUSINESS

The company has set a price band of Rs 123 to Rs 128 per equity share of Rs 10 face value. At the lower band of Rs 123 per share, the P/E would be 51.6 times the annualized EPS of Rs 2.4 for the nine months ended December 2009 (on post-IPO equity) and 82 times the EPS of Rs 1.5 (on post-IPO equity) for FY09. At the upper price band of Rs 128 per share, the P/E would be 54 times the annualized EPS for the nine months ended December 2009 and 85 times the EPS for FY09. There is no comparable listed company. The very high valuation already factors in very high growth rates in future.

A LITTLE STORY ON MARKETS (On Request)

There was a small village, everyone there were living happily, one day someone from the big city came with his assistant, he announced that - "I will give Rs. 10 each for every monkey you catch and bring it to me", now the villagers started catching monkeys, soon villagers found a new job. They caught monkeys and sold to that stranger & made good money, after a short while villagers lost their interest. The stranger again announced that - "I will give you Rs. 15 each for every monkey", more monkeys came in, after a while the price of monkey went up to Rs. 60 !!! Suddenly one day the stranger was out of the village & his assistant said - "Look this guy does not pays me much, I want to sell all his monkeys at Rs. 50 each so when he comes back you can sell it back to him for Rs. 70" - the villagers agreed -The assistant sold all the monkeys to the villagers for Rs. 50 and went out of the village. Villagers were now left with their monkeys & still waiting........for the Stranger and his assistant to come... but none of this two came back & left villagers with their monkeys worth nothing...while that strangers made money out of nothing....

THE MORALE OF THE STORY - 

The villagers are we small Investors , our stocks are the monkeys and FII’s (Foreign Institutional Investors) are those strangers !!!

Do learn the lesson from this game.. and Invest safely, invest in good business and for long term... 


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PRAJ INDUSTRIES : In a Trading Range, But with bullish signs

Praj Industries has been finding exact support at the upward sloping trendline joining the significant bottoms. The upmove from Rs.70 to Rs.100.85 was retraced by about 61.8% to around Rs.81 after which the stock started moving up.

The downmove from Rs.100.85 to Rs.81 took 13 trading days (Fibonacci time period) which was completely retraced only in 5 trading sessions (again a Fibonacci time period). This is called “Faster Retracement” and is a bullish indication.

The downward sloping trendline joining the significant tops has been breached by the stock in the last week and the close has been significantly higher than this trendline. The stock has been consistently making higher bottoms, which is once again bullish for the stock. The volumes have increased in the last few trading sessions indicating participants increased interest in the stock.

Also there will be news soon about the company completing its process of divesting its US-based subsidiary, Praj Schneider due to economic scenario in US.

The mid-cap engineering firm has an equity capital of Rs 36.94 crore. Face value per share is Rs 2.

The current price of Rs 87.70 discounts the company's Q3 December 2009 annualised EPS of Rs 6.31, by a PE multiple of 13.89.

The company has retained rights for process technology for bio-diesel in North America. Meanwhile, the company has launched a new company in US, Praj Americas Inc, operating out of Houston, to address the markets in North, Central and South America.

Praj Industries offers innovative solutions to significantly add value in bio-ethanol, bio-diesel and brewery plants and related wastewater treatment systems for customers, worldwide.

GRASIM SAMRUDDHI DEMERGER: A COMPLICATION, A CONFUSION.

Grasim has declared the demerger of Samruddhi cements, its ratios and demerger process has become some what complicated and confusing for any common shareholder, here I have tried to elaborate some of its key points –

The demerger scheme says every shareholder of Grasim will get 1 share of Samruddhi. Now, Samruddhi has 26 cr shares, with the Face Value of Rs.5.00, Book Value of Rs.250. Grasim will transfer Rs.2100 cr of debts to Samruddhi.

Grasim will hold 65% in Samruddhi & 35% of Grasim shareholders will hold 35% in Samruddhi.

Samruddhi will be listed in stock exchanges hence, providing exit option to its shareholders, further it will be merged with Ultra Tech Cement.

The record date for this merger has been set as 1st October 2009,

So, a share holder of Grasim will get 1 Samruddhi for every 1 Grasim held,

And he will get 4 Ultra Tech Cement shares for every 7 Samruddhi he holds as on record date declared by Ultra Tech Cements. So the price of Samruddhi will depend on the last closing price of Ultra Tech Cements.

On 10th March 2010, A block deal of 100000 shares of ULTRA TECH CEMENTS at Rs.1103/share was done.

Grasim Industries Ltd

I expect the Cement Sector to add around 76mtpa of capacity over FY2010-12E. Such a large capacity addition is expected to eventually create over supply in the market, as demand is not expected to catch up with supply in the short term. Nonetheless, on a positive note, a stable government at the Centre is expected to boost infrastructure spending in the country and, along with the ongoing recovery being witnessed in Real Estate activities, concerns on the demand front appear to have reduced considerably. However, All-India capacity utilisation is expected to drop to 78% in FY2010 from around 85% in FY2009. In the case of Grasim, it is currently in the process of increasing its cement capacity by 4.5mtpa at Kotputli and by 4.4mtpa at Shambhupura, by 3QFY2010E, taking its total standalone capacity to 25.8mtpa in FY2010E. Along with the capacity expansions of 4.9mtpa at Ultratech, the total capacity of the merged entity will touch 48.9mtpa by end-FY2011E. Grasim is India’s sole player in the VSF business and exports a substantial portion of its output. The division, after going through a lean patch over the past one year, due to the overall economic slowdown, has begun to show signs of revival in the current quarter. The company recorded its highest-ever quarterly sales for this division during 2QFY2010, while also achieving the highest-ever operating profit, on account of a substantial reduction in the prices of raw materials such as pulp and caustic soda. The company plans to set up an 80,000MT Greenfield project, at a cost of Rs1,000cr, to meet the growing demand. Going ahead, the volume outlook for this division looks positive, both in the domestic and the international market, although there is little scope for any further price increases, due to a growing price differential between other textile fibers, such as polyester and cotton. We have derived the value of Grasim on an SOTP basis.

I have valued the company’s 65% stake in Samruddhi at an average of an EV/tonne of US $100/Tonne and an EV/EBITDA of 6x FY2011E, based on the de-merger plan. I have arrived at a value of Rs725/share for Grasim’s direct holding in Samruddhi. The value attributable to the 35% stake of Grasim’s shareholders in Samruddhi stands at Rs434/share. We have valued the VSF business at 5x EV/EBITDA, implying a P/BV of 1.75x on an FY2011E basis. I have assigned the valuation multiple based on the VSF business’s superior RoCE as compared to its global peers (which are trading at 3x P/BV, based on CY2010E book value). I have valued the company’s 54.8% stake in Ultratech by assigning a holding company discount of 20%. Hence, our SOTP Fair Value for Grasim works out to Rs2, 548. I upgrade the stock to buy.

SUZLON ENERGY Q3 FY2009-10 RESULT INSIGHTS

NET DEBT REDUCTION- Q3 FY 10
-Consolidated net debt as on 31st March 2009 - Rs. 11800 cr.
-Consolidated net debt as on 31st December 2009 - Rs. 10488 cr.
-Net consolidated debt reduced by Rs. 1312 cr.
-Profit from the Sale of 35.22% OF HANSEN TRANSMISSION Rs. 252 cr.
-GROSS REDUCTION OF DEBT BY APPROX. 15% OR USD 350 MILLION.
-Acquition loan of USD 780 million PAID-OFF.
-HANSEN STAKE NOW AT 26.06%. (174632079 voting rights)
-REpower Systems AG stake now at 90.71%.

SALES FIGURES- Q3 FY 10
-India contributed 140 Mw v/s 168 Mw in Q3 FY 2008-09.
-Internationally, volumes were 264 Mw v/s 511 Mw in Q3 FY 2008-09.
-Total Mw Sales (Suzlon Wind) - 404 Mw v/s 679 Mw.

ORDER BOOK – Q3FY 10
-As on 30th January 2010 – 1484 Mw.
-Order book value as on 30th January 2010 – Rs. 8128 cr.
-Average realisation of Order Book -
INDIA – Rs. 5.43 cr/Mw.
INTERNATIONAL – Rs. 5.49 cr/Mw.

REVENUE - Q3 FY 10
-Suzlon Wind Business Revenue – Rs. 2453 cr.
-Consolidated Revenue – Rs. 5590 cr.
-Income from operation & maintance activities-
India – Rs. 196 cr
International – Rs. 83 cr.
-Karnataka wind energy tariff Rs. 3.70/Kwh from Rs. 3.40.
-Gujarat wind energy tariff Rs. 3.56/Kwh from Rs. 3.50/Kwh.
-Global Market Share – Suzlon – 9%; RE power - 3.3%; GE wind – 18.6%; Vestas – 19.8%; Siemens – 6.9% as on 31st December 2008.

OTHER FINANCIAL DETAILS -
-Net operating working capital as on 31st December 2009 – Rs. 5179 cr.
-Absolute reduction of working capital of Rs. 974 cr from March 2009 levels.
-Acquition Loans – Rs. 2159 cr.
-FCCBs – Rs. 2229 cr.
-Capex Loans – Rs. 1077 cr.
-Working Capital & Other Loans – Rs. 5009 cr.
-Gross External Debt – Rs. 10474 cr
-Loans from Promoter group – Rs.1175 cr.
-Cash Holdings – Rs.1041 cr.
-NET DEBT – Rs. 10608 cr.
-NET EXTERNAL DEBT – Rs.9433 cr.
-Gross Profit/Mw - 9m FY 2009-10 – Rs. 2.03 cr v/s Rs. 2.07 cr in 9m FY 08-09.

DEBT MANAGEMENT EXERCISE –
- DEBT REDUCTION –
- Monetized 35.22 % stake in Hansen Transmission, realized GBP 224 millions through placement of 236 million Depository interest at a price of 95 pence per depository interest, proceeds used to repay part of acquisition loans.
- Refinancing of loans in Rupee-denomination from SBI.
- Holiday of 2 years in principal payments done.
- Issue of GDRs for USD 108 million (Q2 FY 2009-10)
- Cash infusion of USD 94 million through additional Convertible Bonds issue (Q2 FY 2009-10)

CAPACITY & EXPANSION PLANS –

SUZLON (GDR- SUEL:LI Suzlon Energy Ltd)
CURRENT CAPACITY- 4200 Mw
EXPANSION PLANNED- 1500 Mw
TOTAL POST EXPANSION- 5700 Mw

RE POWER SYSTEMS AG - RPW:GR
CURRENT CAPACITY- 1250 Mw
EXPANSION PLANNED- 450 Mw
TOTAL POST EXPANSION- 1700 Mw

HANSEN Transmissions International NV - HSN:LN
CURRENT CAPACITY- 7300 Mw (Gearbox)
EXPANSION PLANNED- 8000 Mw (Gearbox)
TOTAL POST EXPANSION- 14300 Mw (Gearbox)

RESULTS- Suzlon Energy Posts Profits for Q3 FY10

SUZLON ENERGY has announced its Q3 results of FY10. It has reported Consolidated Net Profit of Rs 14.1 crs as against loss of Rs 34.9 crs, QoQ, boosted by profit on stake sale of Hansen booked Rs 251.96 cr.

Consolidated Total Revenues declined to Rs 5,608 crs from Rs 6,943 crs. Income from Operations slipped to Rs 5,590 crs from Rs 6,920 crs.

Suzlon's Net Debt stood at Rs 10,488 crs as on December 31, 2009.

EBIDTA (earning before interest, depreciation, tax and amortisation) was down to Rs 274.6 crs from Rs 724.7 crs.

Adjusted losses without extraordinary was at Rs 221.1 crs v/s loss of Rs 340 crs, QoQ.

Interest expenses were still steady at Rs 289.5 crs v/s Rs 233.85 crore.

Highlights

-Sale of 404 MW v/s expectations of 470-480 MW

-Better sales QoQ at 404 MW v/s 283 MW

-Low volumes hit margins to make operating loss in standalone in wind business

-Operating loss of Rs 74 crs v/s Rs 149 crs

-Order book inflow still weak; added 399 MW in Q3 with only 68 MW from international markets

-No orders from the Chinese and European markets during the quarter

-Order backlog flat QoQ at 1484 MW

-Net debt reduced by Rs 3274 crs from Rs 13,762 crs to Rs 10488 cr by end December.

-Rupee refinancing progressing well; nearly 80% tied-up and full closure expected by end-February 2010

Management says

-Strong revival seen in Indian wind market; 

-New policy initiatives support long-term growth; 

-Order wins from PSUs and large corporates: ACC, GACL, GAIL, ITC, RSMML, among others

HANSEN

-Revenues down 12.1% to Euro 137 million; margins at 9.8% vs 12.9% YoY; QoQ better with improvement from cost control

-Reduction in scheduled deliveries of both industrial and wind turbine gearboxes

-Company says: customers are continuing to defer deliveries of the gearboxes with stricter control of inventories in line with the current operating and credit environment

-Scaled down FY10 guidance implies 40% decline in Q4 revenues

-Upswing in market is expected from July-Sept Quarter

REPOWER

-Flat revenues of Euro315 million v/s Euro 312 million 

-EBIT at Euro 25 million v/s Euro 15 million 

-Margins at 7.9% v/s 4.9%

-Final numbers on February 12, 2010

MY STOCK PICK: GILLETTE INDIA

As we all know that India is enjoying the demographic dividend, as more than 40% of Indian population is between the age group of 20 – 40 years, and with the population of 1.18 billion in India a 40% means nearly 47.2 cr people are young and if we assume that from this young population minus females needs shaving kit every morning then for next 20-30 years the consumption & sales of these products would be growing Right!! and the company would be delivering consistent performance.But this is just an assumption..what product am I talking about….. It’s GILLETTE!!BSE CODE - 507815

Gillette India is an NSE BSE listed company jointly promoted by House of Poddar Enterprise and Gillette Company, U.S.A. (Gillette). A company engaged in manufacturing shaving blades (7 O’clock, Ejtek shaving brush, Gillette Mach- 3, Mach 3 turbo).Just look at the details and you will understand

Details as on 21-Jan-2010

Share price- Rs.1,359.00;

Market Cap- Rs.4,464.50 cr;

52 Week- H- Rs.1,450.00; L- Rs.575.25;

P/E- 33.97; EPS- Rs.40.33;

Book value – Rs.150.65;

Dividend – Rs.12.50; Fv- Rs.10;

Total Debt- 0.00;

Reserves- Rs.458.30;

Total Share Issued- 3,25,85,217 shares;

Public Shareholding – 36,73,368 shares; Public Shareholding in %- 11.27%;

Promoter’s holding- 2,89,11,849 shares; Promoter’s holding in %- 88.74%;

Procter & Gamble India holds 41.02 % stake in Gillette India, even one of the most smart investor is into it. R.S. Damani holds 1.06 % in Gillette India. Gillette India,have its competitors like HUL,Dabur,Colgate,Godrej in personal care segment but non of these can compete Gillette in male personal care segment, (you can survey it by your self)

Gillette India is a best buy at Rs.1100- 1250, and should accumulate on further dips.

Pass on the legacy to your future generation. A DEBT FREE COMPANY at price of Rs.1100 is definitely a best buy. I bought at Rs.1080 on Diwali, Gillette India have given 1:1 bonus in 1989, A VERY STRONG CANDIDATE FOR THE BONUS ISSUE

I am not giving the price target as I believe this stock is meant for long term holding and not for short term gains. Yes it will not give you instant gains,it is a lazy kind of stock but with an extremely promising fundamentals.Daily vol is around 4169 shs from which 3321 shs -79.66 % is on delivery basis.

Container Corporation of India (CONCOR)

Total shares issued- 129982794 shs.

Promoter’s holdings- 81999802 shs- 63.08%

Promoters - President Of India-81998202 shs;

Other Promoters- 1600 shs,

Institutional holdings-22180162 shs-17.07%

52 Week-High-Rs.1275 on 23 Dec 2009;Low-Rs.594 on 23 Dec 2008.
Current Market Price - Rs.1257.20

Market Cap-16442.82cr; AS on 23/12/09

EPS-61.49;P/E-20.57; Ind P/E- 21.00

Book Value-289.44;Price/Book-4.37;Div %- 140

Total Share Capital- 129.98cr:

Net Worth- 3762.21cr; Total DEBT -0;

Incorporated in 1988, Container Corporation of India (CONCOR) is a multi-modal (rail and road) logistics support provider for the country’s exim and domestic trade and commerce, working under the ministry of railways, Government of India. It handles the imports and exports of the country from about 40 dry ports or terminals spread across India. It also enjoys a near monopoly situation in the transportation of Containerised cargo through the Indian railways. CONCOR`s core business is characterised by three distinct activities, that of a carrier, a terminal operator, and a warehouse operator. The key value the company offers is the provision of a single-window facility co-ordinating with all the different agencies and services involved in the containerised cargo trade right from customs, gateway ports, and railways, to road haulers, consolidators, forwarders, custom house agents and shipping lines CONCOR currently provides the only means by which shippers may obtain containerized freight transportation by rail in India. Though rail is the mainstay of its transportation plan, road services are also provided according to market demand and operational exigencies. CONCOR also operates container terminals across the country to cater to the needs of the trade, whether in the export-import or the domestic business.

Financials: - Container Corporation of India registered results for the quarter ended on 30-SEP-2009 as:

Net Sales- Rs. 959.9027 cr v/s Rs. 903.3608 cr on 30-SEP-2008.

Net Profit- Rs. 204.3475 cr v/s Rs. 223.6809 cr on 30-SEP-2008.

Conl- This stock has always being out of the analysts radar,also this stock has being giving a consitant performance over a period of time. Here I have tried to point out the underdog PSU, as the world expects to get out from recession & their EXIM trades to shoot up, INDIA is surely getting a pie from it & this is the company with an 21.03% of RoNW, and with the net profit of 204 cr on sales of 959cr is certainly shine in this space.

Read my Mundra port post for futher view on business.

SUZLON ENERGY

TOTAL SHARES ISSUED – 1556723743 shs.

GROSS DEBT – Rs. 13477 cr.

NET DEBT – Rs. 12525 cr. (As on SEP 09).

CASH HOLDINGS – Rs. 952 cr.

REPOWER SYSTEMS AG - RPW:GR

Total Shares Issued – 9177039 shs.

Suzlon holds – 8325409 shs - 90.72%.

Free Float – 851630 shs - 9.28%.

CMP- 8th DEC 2009, 114 Euros. 1Euro/Rs. 68.95

MKT CAP – 1046.18 million Euros, Rs. 7213.42 cr.

Free Float MKT CAP – 97.08582 million Euros, Rs.669.406 cr.

EPS – 0.16, PE – 711.13, P/B – 3.11, NP – 1479000 Euros, Rs.10.2073 cr.

Suzlon's stakes in REpower valued at Rs.6544.021 cr

HANSEN TRANSMISSION INTERNATIONAL NV - HSN:LN

Total Shares Issued – 670104208 shs.

After the 35.01% stake sale in November 2009.

Suzlon now holds – 174632079 shs a 26.06%. V/S 410632079 shs 61.28%.

CMP as on 8th DEC 2009 1.13 GBp. 1GBP/ Rs.76.04

MKT CAP – 757.21 million Pounds, Rs. 5757.88 cr.

EPS – 1.98p, PE – 53.41, P/B – 1.39, NP – 1319131000 GBp – Rs.101.1546 cr

Suzlon's stakes in Hansen valued at Rs. 1500.52 cr.

NOW,

REpower contributes to Rs.42.03 to Suzlon´s CMP of Rs.85 a nearly 49.45% of Suzlon.

HANSEN contributes to Rs. 9.63 to Suzlon´s CMP of Rs. 85 a nearly 11.34% of Suzlon. So Suzlon valued at Rs.33.34.

Suzlon´s enterprise value is around Rs 33801.69 cr (217/Sh).

Networth around Rs 6580.32 cr.

IF SUZLON ENERGY MANAGES TO RETIRE ITS Rs. 13000 cr DEBTS IT’S VALUE CAN GO…. I SAY CAN GO TILL Rs.180. BUT SINCE IT’S A HIGH BETA STOCK ALWAYS TRADE WITH STRICK STOPLOSS.

Mundra Port and Special Economic Zone

Market Details as on 31st October, 2009.

Total Shares Issued – 400678820 shs of Rs. 10 each.

Shares Issued at IPO- 40250000 shs at Rs. 440 Nov 2007.

Promoters Holdings- 324719561 shs -81.03%.

Market Capitalization- Rs. 20047.96 cr.

Current Market Price – Rs. 500.35.

Book Value per Share- Rs. 73.44, Earning per Share- Rs. 14.91, Dividend- Rs.3/sh.

Price to Earning Ratio – 33.56, Industry P/E- 42.20, Price to Book- 6.81 times.

52 Week – High- Rs. 705, Low- Rs. 253.65.

200 Daily Moving Average- Rs. 478.25.

Total Debt – Rs. 2313 cr, Total Reserve- Rs. 2541.78 cr

FINANCIALS:-As on 30th September 2009

Total Income Rs.337.33 cr v/s Rs. 303.78 cr (YOY), Net profit increased 56 % to Rs. 174.78 cr v/s 112.28 cr (YOY), half yearly Net Sales of Rs. 634.13 cr, and Net Profit of Rs. 345.54 cr posting an EPS of Rs. 8.32.

Mundra port is India’s largest private sector port promoted by Adani group.

Mundra port has notified multi-product SEZ area of 5920 hectares, from which it is currently developing the area of 130 sq km. the Co. has its own railways which handled close to 4500 rakes in yr 2008-09; has Dry Cargo Port - has handled largest container vessel- MV BAUDELAIRE (300.40 mtrs), the port now handles 6500-7000 vessels; Co. has container terminal with highest gross crane productivity of 55.24 Moves Per Hour (MPH) , highest average crane productivity of 33 MPH in country; Company has signed an agreement with Maruti Suzuki to export cars from the Auto terminal- total car exported in last 3 months of 2008-09 is 18911 cars; Co. has handled 2.2 lacs Metric Tonnes of liquid cargo.

For the financial yr 2008-09 Mundra port has handled 2171 vessels v/s 1624 in yr 2007-08. Its cargo handling capacity increased by 33.68 % to 3.60 cr tonnes.As per the records, India’s 95 % of external trade by volume & 70 % by value comes by Sea. Cargo handling volume in 12 major ports in India was at 53 cr Tonnes, while non-major ports contributed 21 cr Tonnes during 2008-09, aggregating to 74 cr Tonnes. Mundra port, the largest private sector non-major port, with a cargo capacity of around 3.6 cr Tonnes in FY09 is among the Top 10 ports in India. India needs to double its port capacity to 150 cr Tonnes by 2011-12 & would require investments worth Rs.55000 cr in that period indicating significant potential for the sector.

A LITTLE STORY ON MARKETS

There was a small village, everyone in that village were living happily, one day someone from big city came with his assistant, he said - "I will give Rs. 10 for every monkey you catch, and bring it to me", villagers started catching monkeys, soon villagers found a new job. They caught monkeys and sold to that stranger & made good money, after a while they lost interest. The stranger said - "I will give you Rs. 15 for every monkey", more monkeys came in, after a while the price of monkey went up to Rs. 60 !!! Suddenly one day the stranger was out of the village his assistant said - "Look this guy does not pays me much, I want to sell all his monkeys at Rs. 50/each so when he comes back you can sell it back to him for Rs. 70" - the villagers agreed -The assistant sold all the monkeys to the villagers for Rs. 50 and went out of the village. Villagers were now left with their monkeys & still waiting........for the Stranger and his assistant to come... but none of this two came back & left villagers with their monkeys worth nothing...while that strangers made money out of nothing....

THE MORALE OF THE STORY - 

The villagers are we small Investors , our stocks are the monkeys and FII’s (Foreign Institutional Investors) are those strangers !!!

Lets us all learn the lesson, 

IPO DETAILS: PIPAVAV SHIPYARDS LTD

Price Band- Rs.55-60, Face Value- Rs.10
Issue opens on- 16th September 2009, Wednesday
Issue closes on- 18th September 2009, Friday
QIB Book- 5,09,10,135 shares (60% of Net issue)
HNI Book- 84,85,022 shares (10% of Net issue)
Retail Book- 2,54,55,068 shares (30% of Net issue)
Employee Reservation- 6,00,000 shares
Total No. of Shares offered- 8,54,50,225 shares or 12.8%
Equity Shares outstanding after the Issue--665,798,388 Sh
Equity Shares outstanding prior Issue-580,348,163 Sh
Total Size of the Issue- Rs. 469.97 Crs. - Rs. 512.7 Crs. (Approximately)
Lead Manager- Kotak, SBI, Enam, Motilal, JM, and Citigroup
Registrar- Karvy Computershare Private Limited.
Debt equity ratio- 0.7:1


Major PE investors-
Punj Lloyd currently holds 22.34% stake in the company at Rs.27, Amout- Rs 350cr. Sea King Infra(SKIL)at Rs.10 and they combine holds 45.5% stake.
Trinity capital- Rs.25, Amount- Rs.114.75cr, Post issue holding- 6.89%, 2i capital- Rs.25, Amount- Rs.100cr, Post issue holding- 6.01%, New York Life Investment Management India Fund(NYLIM)- Rs.25, Amount- Rs.66.52cr, Post issue holding- 4%, Citadel MT Trading- Rs.45, Amount- Rs.103.5cr, Post issue holding- 3.45%, SCB Asian Infrastructure Fund- Rs.45, Amount- Rs.51.75cr, Post issue holding- 1.73%, Blackstone, Merrill Lynch, Galleon, Manz Retail (a Future Group entity), Deutsche Bank -All at Rs.80/Sh- below 1% - stakes in the firm.
Other are Infrastructure Leasing & Finance Services (IL&FS), Export Import Bank of India (EXIM Bank), UTI Mutual Fund and Industrial & Development Bank of India (IDBI).


Company details-Pipavav is located on the south western coast of Gujarat and claims that it will be the biggest shipyard upon completion in India. The shipyard is spread over an area of 198.92 hectares, which also comprises of a special economic zone (SEZ).It plans to use the proceeds for the construction of shipbuilding facilities, repair and offshore business and for general corporate purposes.


Valuations- The net worth of Company was Rs. 12,55.076cr as of March 31, 2009. The book value per Equity Share was Rs.21.63 as of March 31, 2009 Pipavav is being valued at 1.1X EV/Order book even at the lower end of the price band. This is as compared to 0.2X for Indian shipyards and 0.3-0.5X for global shipyards, said investment bank Noble Group in its research note. Given the uncertain order book, the valuation seem to be a little aggressive.
Pipavav has said that it has an order book of $920 million, which includes 12 offshore supply vessels from ONGC and an order for 22 dry bulk carriers from three European shipping companies. The order with the European customers is being renegotiated given the downturn,though the impact on order book is not known.
Pipavav Shipyard, co-owned by SKIL Infrastructure and Punj Lloyd, is building a shipyard in Gujarat at a cost of about Rs 3,000 crore, of which it has already spent Rs 2,086 crore.

MY STOCK PICK: GILLETTE INDIA

As we all know that India is enjoying the demographic dividend, as more than 40% of Indian population is between the age group of 20 – 40 years, and with the population of 1.18 billion in India a 40% means nearly 47.2 cr people are young and if we assume that from this young population minus females needs shaving kit every morning then for next 20-30 years the consumption & sales of these products would be growing Right!! and the company would be delivering consistent performance.But this is just an assumption..what product am I talking about….. It’s GILLETTE!!

Gillette India is an NSE BSE listed company jointly promoted by House of Poddar Enterprise and Gillette Company, U.S.A. (Gillette). A company engaged in manufacturing shaving blades (7 O’clock, Ejtek shaving brush, Gillette Mach- 3, Mach 3 turbo).Just look at the details and you will understand

Details as on 04-Sep-2009

Share price- Rs.1,008.35;

Market Cap- Rs.3,290.94 cr;

52 Week- H- Rs.1,079.90; L- Rs.520;

P/E- 29.09; EPS- Rs.34.70;

Book value – Rs.165.27;

Dividend – Rs.12.50; Fv- Rs.10;

Dividend Ex-date- 15-oct-09;

Net Sales- Rs.661.51 cr; PBT- Rs.177.01 cr; Total Debt- 0.00;

Net Profit- Rs.113.13 cr; Reserves- Rs.458.30;

Total Share Issued- 3,25,85,217 shares;

Public Shareholding – 36,73,368 shares; Public Shareholding in %- 11.27%;

Promoter’s holding- 2,89,11,849 shares; Promoter’s holding in %- 88.74%;

Procter & Gamble India holds 41.02 % stake in Gillette India, even one of the most smart investor is into it. R.S. Damani holds 1.06 % in Gillette India. Gillette India,have its competitors like HUL,Dabur,Colgate,Godrej in personal care segment but non of these can compete Gillette in male personal care segment, (you can survey it by your self)

Gillette India is a best buy at Rs.800- 850, and should accumulate on further dips.

Pass on the legacy to your future generation. A DEBT FREE COMPANY at price of Rs.800-850 is definately a best buy. Gillette India have given 1:1 bonus in 1989,

I am not giving the price target as I believe this stock is meant for long term holding and not for shortterm gains. Yes it will not give you instant gains,it is a lazy kind of stock but with an extremly promising fundamentals.Daily vol is around 20,000 sh from which 35 % is on delivery basis.

BET ON : VIDEOCON

If you’re looking to invest in a solid Indian consumer electronics company then Videocon is probably an ideal fit for you. Its stock is not priced too high and a single share of the company is currently trading under the Rs.173 range on the Sensex . It’s a decent fit for intraday movements but considering the situation that the company has been in and the progress it is slowly making. Videocon is a pretty good and robust long term stock. If you have an investment horizon of 1-3 yrs then you should take a look and consider Videocon. A best buy under Rs.150,

Market Cap of Rs.3,964.33, EPS-18.88, P/E-9.16, Book Value of Rs.294.96,

Price/Book- 0.65, Div(%)-10.00, Div Yield(%)-0.52, Industry P/E 4.70

A few years ago Videocon was facing tough competition from foreign companies that had just set up base in India. LG and Samsung had begun to take root in India. They arrived with a host of innovative schemes and products and turned the consumer electronics division in India on its head. Many Indian companies had to match up, either sell out, shut shop or compete on the same level as these companies who had both the resources and the technology to turn profitable in India.

Companies like BPL were beaten down, Onida barely survives .Videocon on the other hand weathered the storm and has gone from strength to strength in the past few years.

Videocon’s bread and butter is without a doubt its television division. The company as it stands is the world’s third largest maker of television picture tubes.

It’s got a worldwide manufacturing presence and has started to boost its sales in other countries too. The company’s acquisition of Thomson has greatly benefitted its television business.

Even though it is not a market leader in televisions in India its manufacturing capabilities allow it to make money. Many companies use Videocon’s technology and license their products to be manufactured by Videocon before retailing them under their own brand names.

The company’s also got a decent enough presence in the field of washing machines, refrigerators and other home appliances.

Recently, Videocon has initiated a total brand makeover with a greener, more environmental friendly theme. The company has plans to do well outside India and will be helped by this new marketing campaign which is projecting the company as one that has had a major overhaul.

Pretty soon the company is also expected to enter the fast growing DTH space with its own Satellite TV service. Of late under the astute leadership of Mr.Venugopal Dhoot, the company has been diversifying into sectors different from its core services including the competitive mobile services market. Its sales have shown a capacity to grow and the company is making money.

Also the company has oil and gas joint venture which extracts 50,000 barrels of oil per day.which is 7% of all oil in the private sector in India.Videocon has bagged exploration and production contracts in countries like Oman, Australia and the Timor Sea near Indonesia.

Besides this it is also in the glass mkt. Videocon produces a superior range of panels and funnels to meet the demand for large-size, flat, and slim CRT display products.

In view of all this it is a good long term bet.