SAMRUDDHI CEMENTS LISTS AT Rs.579.75

NAME - NSE - SAMRUDDHI ; BSE- 533209.

Share Price - Rs.488 ;

Market Cap - Rs.12,770.15 cr ;

Total Debts - Rs.2100 cr ;

52 Week High - Rs.590 ; Low- Rs.477.15 ;

P/E - 00.00 ; EPS - 00.00 ;

Book Value - Rs.175.15 ; Industry P/E - 8.95 ;

Fv - Rs.5.00 ; Dividend - 35 % ;

Total Shares Issued - 26,16,83,571 shares ;

Promoter's Holding - 16,99,99,988 shares ; Promoter's holding in % - 65%

SAMRUDDHI CEMENTS LTD today made its debut at Rs.588 on BSE after its demerger with GRASIM IND

Listing Samruddhi Cement on the bourses is a part of the restructuring process of the cement business of the Aditya Birla group.

The company has listed with 26.16 crore equity shares of face value of Rs 5 each.

Shares of Samruddhi Cement touched a high of Rs 600 and a low of Rs 478.15 on the Bombay Stock Exchange.

On the National Stock Exchange, the scrip listed at Rs 579.75. It touched a high of Rs 590 and low of Rs.477.15.

The company made its listing on the bourses after Aditya Birla Group flagship firm Grasim Industries, last year, approved the demerger of Samruddhi Cement with itself.

As part of the arrangement, the company will be merged with UltraTech Cement on 10 July 2010.

Accordingly, 4 shares of UltraTech would be issued for every 7 shares of Samruddhi.

Each Grasim shareholder had received one equity share of Rs 5 of Samruddhi Cement for every one share held in Grasim, as a part of the scheme.

The merged entity will have an annual capacity to produce 48.8 million grey cement with 22 plants. It will also have 11. 7 million cubic metres of ready mix concrete across 68 plants along with captive thermal power plants of 504 mega watts.

After the completion of the merger, Grasim would hold 60. 3% of UltraTech's expanded equity capital and 39.7 % would be held directly by other shareholders of UltraTech and Samruddhi.

It is to be noted that the Fair Value of Samruddhi Cements is 55 % Ultratech Cements price.

My previous post on this event click - GRASIM IND SAMRUDDHI DEMERGER

ULTRATECH CEMENT LTD ; BUY

Scrip Code : 532538 / ULTRACEMCO

CMP :  Rs.857.95 ; Buy at Rs.840-850 levels

Traget : Rs. 1087

Market Cap : Rs.10,711.1 cr.

52 Week High/Low : Rs.1163.1/Rs.702.8

Total Shares : 124487079 shares; Promoters - 68193101 shares - 54.78%

Book Value : Rs.370.05 ; Face Value - Rs.10; EPS - Rs.73.76;

Enterprise Value : Rs.989.31 per share ;

UltraTech ‘s results for Q1FY11 net realisation declined 4.9% due to its substantial exposure 33% to southern region which was affected by lower off take and shortage of wagons.

The increase in operating expenditure resulted in 1371 basis points YOY decline in operating margins to 23.5% (37.2%) , Going ahead, UltraTech will benefit from its Samruddhi merger % will not face comparatively lower pricing pressure. Post merger UltraTech will have aggregate capacity of 49 million tonne of cement production.. Ultra Tech’s net sales declined 8.1% YOY because of 3.6% decline in dispatches to 5.12 million tonnes. Power cost increased due to higher open market power purchase & reduced coal supply through linkages.

The incorporated post merger number of UltraTech will be 45.3% CAGR in top line over FY10-12 by higher volumes. At current level the stock is trading at an EV/EBITDA of 6.7 times & EV per tonne of $94 on FY 12 estimates.

At an average target of EV/EBITDA of 7 times Ultra Tech’s fair value comes at Rs.1087.

Samruddhi Cements

Share capital (Eq + Prf) – Rs.85 cr

Share Capital Suspense – Rs.45.84 cr.

Reserves & Surplus – Rs.4452.56 cr.

Total Assets – Rs.8562.49 cr.

Total Liabilities – Rs.5217.73 cr.

Investments (Eq) – Rs.4.43 cr.

Investments (Bonds/Mutual Fund) – Rs. 1234.11 cr.

Turnover – Rs.4290.63 cr.

PBT – Rs.941.99 cr.

PAT – Rs.617.96 cr.

UltraTech Cement

Share capital (Eq + Prf) – Rs.124.49 cr

Reserves & Surplus – Rs.4482.17 cr.

Total Assets – Rs.6673.44 cr.

Total Liabilities – Rs.3736.33 cr.

Investments (Eq) – Rs.21.07 cr.

Investments (Bonds/Mutual Fund) – Rs. 1616.68 cr.

Turnover – Rs.7049.68 cr.

PBT – Rs.1588.16 cr.

PAT – Rs.1093.24 cr.

MY BIRTHDAY TODAY: BIDDING ADIEU TO ALL _/\_ !!

Hello Friends!! 

 It’s my Birthday today .. and wishing you all a Very Happy Ram Navami too...
I am very emotional in breaking this news to you all, that after 9 long years of blogging, I am finally bidding adieu to my Blog. I started blogging as fun and later it become blogging for a purpose, for a cause - cause to help. I blogged about stocks, about my views, stories about markets - my intention was purely to educate & provide an advantage to investors, to make every citizen of my country an Investor & not a speculator.. my endeavor was to educate and make investors aware... I gave my views on stocks in every 10 days i.e. on every 3rd, 13th & 23rd of every month, that too for 9 long years, there were times when it became difficult for me to cope up with my blogging, professional and personal time, but somehow I managed it....believe me, this decision is as hard for me as hard it is for you lovely people to hear it.  
   
      Friends, its been 9 long years since I started this blog and it has been an amazing journey ( My First Post ) and as I write this, it is becoming more difficult for me..but I have to do it, all these years you all have showered me with immense love, appreciations and support and I am very much thankful for all. During this journey, I have learned so many valuable lessons, found new truths about myself, made good friends, and also had an opportunity to meet many new people along the way. Stock markets made me humble, interacting with readers made me mature. Some of you who have still been with me since the beginning, & still with me - I am so grateful for that. Markets have taught me a lot and I am still learning, a student for life. But, after 372 published posts with more than 570+ followers, now it is becoming difficult for me to blog, some instances which happened in my personal life made me more determined towards my decision, now there's nothing left and no one for whom I motivate myself to write, I have started feeling that my blogging is not serving its purpose it should be.. those who know me knows this well that I never wrote for fame or for money never - money-making was not my intentions ever. I received blessings, appreciation from you all wonderful readers, THANK YOU guys, Thank you so much, my intentions were pure & clear... I never expected anything from anyone, I always want that my readers get benefited and make wealth for themselves and be a part of India Growth story. I selflessly intended good for all my readers, I never intended to make money from my blog....but nothing inspires me anymore, there's no one for whom I motivate myself to write anymore, I can say that my Karma towards my readers ends here... People close to me know very well that I am not very expressive, I cannot express myself and you all can imagine how difficult it is for me to convey this emotion to you all. This is very shattering for me and is breaking me as well, but I have to DO IT.. I don't know whether I will come back again to blogging or not  - I don't know - I may or I may not, but as of now, Yes it's a sad BYE :(  _/\_

A previous version of the blog

One wise man truly said, Once a Market men always a market men, I am the learner, and markets have given me lots and taught me many lessons. I still have more to learn from markets. Learning is the journey and not the destination, Markets is my Passion & I can never quit markets, I am just stopping my blogging journey here. Guys, I will be available to all on stocks topics and markets on Email - montyuu@yahoo.com, and all the posts & comments will be available online. I am optimistic about markets and I do believe in India Growth Story, the consumption theory, the demographic dividend that our nation enjoys, encash it, please do participate in the growth of our nation by investing in stock markets with proper study and strict stop loss - look at the companies with better Revenue growth - Revenue is the Economic engine that drives a company without which the company cannot earn Profit. Constant revenue growth of at least 10 % or more every year for each of the last 10 years indicates that the company is able to expand its business operation and is growing, (for banks and financial institutions take net loan growth instead of revenue growth); Look at company's Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) This ratio measures the company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital is employed. Look at companies whose ROCE was at least 15 % for each of the last 10 years (for banks and financial institutions take pre-tax ROE of more than 20 % for each of the last 10 years instead of ROCE). Revenue growth creates shareholder's value via stock price increases, only if ROCE remains high. Hence it is a very important metric in assessing a firm's performance; also look at companies with great net profit margins, less debt - try to have a stock whose debt is not more than 3 times its net profit, companies with greater ROCE, ROE, wonderful consistent cashflows & best management. BE INVESTED GUYS - wonderful days for Indian Equities are yet to come. Lastly, I would like to thank all of you wonderful people, for being there, with me all these years, I take this opportunity to give Thanks to all my reader friends.. TAKE CARE !!   

                                           God Bless You All !!!

Thanks to my parents who made me what I am here today And Thanks God for all of it !!!

Warm Regards,

Bhavikk Shah.  

                                                          

There are many stocks but some of my fav picks:- Adani Ports ; Berger Paints ; MCX ; PVR ; Cera sanitaryware ; CCL Products ; Nilkamal ;  Symphony Ltd ; Union Budget ; HPPL ;  HUL ; Colgate Palmolive ; Ultratech Cement ; AB NUVO ;  BSE LTD ; IPO's

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RETURN ON CAPITAL

Grasim Industries Ltd

I expect the Cement Sector to add around 76mtpa of capacity over FY2010-12E. Such a large capacity addition is expected to eventually create over supply in the market, as demand is not expected to catch up with supply in the short term. Nonetheless, on a positive note, a stable government at the Centre is expected to boost infrastructure spending in the country and, along with the ongoing recovery being witnessed in Real Estate activities, concerns on the demand front appear to have reduced considerably. However, All-India capacity utilisation is expected to drop to 78% in FY2010 from around 85% in FY2009. In the case of Grasim, it is currently in the process of increasing its cement capacity by 4.5mtpa at Kotputli and by 4.4mtpa at Shambhupura, by 3QFY2010E, taking its total standalone capacity to 25.8mtpa in FY2010E. Along with the capacity expansions of 4.9mtpa at Ultratech, the total capacity of the merged entity will touch 48.9mtpa by end-FY2011E. Grasim is India’s sole player in the VSF business and exports a substantial portion of its output. The division, after going through a lean patch over the past one year, due to the overall economic slowdown, has begun to show signs of revival in the current quarter. The company recorded its highest-ever quarterly sales for this division during 2QFY2010, while also achieving the highest-ever operating profit, on account of a substantial reduction in the prices of raw materials such as pulp and caustic soda. The company plans to set up an 80,000MT Greenfield project, at a cost of Rs1,000cr, to meet the growing demand. Going ahead, the volume outlook for this division looks positive, both in the domestic and the international market, although there is little scope for any further price increases, due to a growing price differential between other textile fibers, such as polyester and cotton. We have derived the value of Grasim on an SOTP basis.

I have valued the company’s 65% stake in Samruddhi at an average of an EV/tonne of US $100/Tonne and an EV/EBITDA of 6x FY2011E, based on the de-merger plan. I have arrived at a value of Rs725/share for Grasim’s direct holding in Samruddhi. The value attributable to the 35% stake of Grasim’s shareholders in Samruddhi stands at Rs434/share. We have valued the VSF business at 5x EV/EBITDA, implying a P/BV of 1.75x on an FY2011E basis. I have assigned the valuation multiple based on the VSF business’s superior RoCE as compared to its global peers (which are trading at 3x P/BV, based on CY2010E book value). I have valued the company’s 54.8% stake in Ultratech by assigning a holding company discount of 20%. Hence, our SOTP Fair Value for Grasim works out to Rs2, 548. I upgrade the stock to buy.